San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2022-12-09 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 42.4%
SJS: 57.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.91
SJS: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
SJS
E. Makiniemi
| Stat | ANA | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.54 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | John Gibson | 28 | 22 | 6 | 78.6% | 3.99 | 3 | -2.01 |
| SJS | E. Makiniemi | 24 | 23 | 1 | 95.8% | 2.12 | 1 | 1.12 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • ANA at home vs SJS: 8-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | ANA 6 - 1 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-01 | SJS 4 - 3 ANA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-12-29 | ANA 4 - 5 SJS | SJS | ANA |
| 2025-10-11 | SJS 6 - 7 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-01 | ANA 4 - 3 SJS | ANA | ANA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 8 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 1 | SJS | 13 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 2 | ANA | 11 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 2 | SJS | 17 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 3 | ANA | 14 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 3 | SJS | 14 | 3 | 2.07 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1
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