Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-12-10 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 52.1%

OTT: 47.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.20

OTT: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

OTT

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	30	3	90.9%	3.82	3	0.82
OTT	C. Talbot	29	27	2	93.1%	2.84	3	0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	OTT
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT
2024-02-27	NSH 4 - 1 OTT	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	9	1	0.78
1	OTT	18	2	1.65
2	NSH	21	2	1.58
2	OTT	17	1	1.10
3	NSH	12	0	0.48
3	OTT	13	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0