Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-12-10 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

Win Probability

DAL: 58.7%

DET: 41.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.70

DET: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	26	24	2	92.3%	2.61	1	0.61
DET	Ville Husso	33	30	3	90.9%	4.12	5	1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • DAL at home vs DET: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	DAL 3 - 2 DET	DAL	DAL
2025-12-23	DET 4 - 3 DAL	DET	DET
2025-04-14	DET 6 - 4 DAL	DET	DET
2025-01-19	DAL 4 - 1 DET	DAL	DAL
2024-01-23	DET 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	11	1	0.91
1	DET	21	0	1.47
2	DAL	23	2	1.90
2	DET	16	1	0.86
3	DAL	18	1	1.05
3	DET	8	0	0.25
4	DAL	1	1	0.26
4	DET	1	0	0.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0