Los Angeles Kings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-12-10 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

MTL: 49.8%

LAK: 50.2%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.94

LAK: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

MTL

J. Allen

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	J. Allen	35	31	4	88.6%	3.72	4	-0.28
LAK	Pheonix Copley	22	20	2	90.9%	1.74	0	-0.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MTL at home vs LAK: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	LAK 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	LAK
2025-11-11	MTL 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-02-05	LAK 6 - 3 MTL	LAK	LAK
2024-10-17	MTL 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-12-07	MTL 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	7	0	0.30
1	LAK	21	1	1.49
2	MTL	15	0	0.64
2	LAK	11	2	1.19
3	MTL	15	0	0.80
3	LAK	17	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3