Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-12-10 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 54.7%

MIN: 45.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.03

MIN: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

VAN

S. Martin

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	33	30	3	90.9%	4.59	2	1.59
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	35	35	0	100.0%	3.97	3	3.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • VAN at home vs MIN: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	7	0	0.35
1	MIN	22	1	2.12
2	VAN	26	3	2.13
2	MIN	14	0	0.88
3	VAN	16	0	1.49
3	MIN	15	1	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2