Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-12-12 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

MIN: 55.6%

EDM: 44.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.43

EDM: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	21	20	1	95.2%	1.93	0	0.93
EDM	Stuart Skinner	30	28	2	93.3%	2.95	0	0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs EDM: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	MIN	10	0.65
1	EDM	13	1.06
2	MIN	21	1.62
2	EDM	6	0.21
3	MIN	14	0.69
3	EDM	13	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8