Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2022-12-12 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 0 Nashville Predators (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 45.0%
NSH: 55.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.84
NSH: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | STL | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | Jordan Binnington | 25 | 25 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.58 | 1 | 2.58 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 24 | 23 | 1 | 95.8% | 2.15 | 1 | 1.15 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • STL at home vs NSH: 6-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | NSH 6 - 5 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-27 | STL 3 - 2 NSH | STL | NSH |
| 2025-12-15 | STL 2 - 5 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-11 | NSH 7 - 2 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-27 | NSH 2 - 3 STL | STL | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 12 | 1 | 0.74 |
| 1 | NSH | 10 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | STL | 8 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 2 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 3 | STL | 12 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 3 | NSH | 14 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 4 | STL | 4 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 4 | NSH | 1 | 0 | 0.07 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 0 Nashville Predators
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2
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