Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2022-12-13 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 0 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 59.6%
LAK: 40.4%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.63
LAK: 1.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
C. Anderson
LAK
Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA
| Stat | BUF | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.833 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 4.37 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | C. Anderson | 40 | 40 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.40 | 0 | 2.40 |
| LAK | Pheonix Copley | 31 | 25 | 6 | 80.6% | 2.52 | 1 | -3.48 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs LAK: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | LAK 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2026-01-29 | BUF 4 - 1 LAK | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-11-20 | LAK 0 - 1 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-10-10 | BUF 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | BUF |
| 2024-02-13 | BUF 7 - 0 LAK | BUF | BUF |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 5 | 1 | 0.33 |
| 1 | LAK | 18 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 2 | BUF | 19 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 2 | LAK | 19 | 0 | 1.10 |
| 3 | BUF | 18 | 0 | 1.42 |
| 3 | LAK | 11 | 0 | 0.51 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 0 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.6 - 1.9
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