Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2022-12-13 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 53.7%
EDM: 46.3%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.12
EDM: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
K. Lankinen
EDM
Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA
| Stat | NSH | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.873 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 4.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | K. Lankinen | 37 | 31 | 6 | 83.8% | 4.00 | 1 | -2.00 |
| EDM | Jack Campbell | 32 | 29 | 3 | 90.6% | 3.39 | 1 | 0.39 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs EDM: 2-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | EDM 3 - 1 NSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-01-13 | NSH 4 - 3 EDM | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-06 | EDM 6 - 2 NSH | EDM | NSH |
| 2024-11-14 | EDM 3 - 2 NSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-10-31 | NSH 1 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 1 | EDM | 21 | 0 | 1.65 |
| 2 | NSH | 16 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 2 | EDM | 13 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 3 | NSH | 20 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 3 | EDM | 15 | 1 | 1.53 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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