Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-12-13 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 7 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CHI: 40.6%

WSH: 59.4%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.52

WSH: 4.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	30	23	7	76.7%	3.25	1	-3.75
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	29	26	3	89.7%	3.30	4	0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CHI at home vs WSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	CHI 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-03	WSH 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	WSH
2025-04-04	WSH 5 - 3 CHI	WSH	WSH
2024-12-17	CHI 3 - 2 WSH	CHI	CHI
2024-03-09	WSH 4 - 1 CHI	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.61
1	WSH	17	0	1.36
2	CHI	21	2	1.74
2	WSH	16	0	0.99
3	CHI	9	2	0.95
3	WSH	12	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 7 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.5 - 4.2