Arizona Coyotes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-12-13 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

SJS: 73.6%

ARI: 26.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 4.05

ARI: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

SJS

J. Reimer

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	22	20	2	90.9%	1.90	1	-0.10
ARI	K. Vejmelka	33	30	3	90.9%	4.59	4	1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-07	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-21	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-15	ARI 1 - 0 SJS	ARI	ARI
2023-04-01	ARI 2 - 7 SJS	SJS	SJS
2023-01-10	ARI 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	21	0	1.38
1	ARI	9	0	0.62
2	SJS	20	1	1.53
2	ARI	8	0	0.24
3	SJS	8	3	1.68
3	ARI	16	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 4.1 - 2.9