Anaheim Ducks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-12-15 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 60.7%

ANA: 39.3%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.16

ANA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

MTL

J. Allen

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	J. Allen	32	27	5	84.4%	3.74	2	-1.26
ANA	Lukas Dostal	25	23	2	92.0%	2.09	1	0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs ANA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	MTL 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	MTL
2026-03-06	ANA 6 - 5 MTL	ANA	ANA
2025-02-02	ANA 3 - 2 MTL	ANA	MTL
2024-12-09	MTL 3 - 2 ANA	MTL	MTL
2024-02-13	MTL 5 - 0 ANA	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	10	1	0.73
1	ANA	11	0	0.67
2	MTL	19	0	0.87
2	ANA	8	0	0.40
3	MTL	9	0	0.50
3	ANA	19	2	2.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1