Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2022-12-15 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 48.3%
LAK: 51.7%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.07
LAK: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
L. Ullmark
LAK
Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA
| Stat | BOS | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.833 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 4.37 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 36 | 31 | 5 | 86.1% | 5.28 | 3 | 0.28 |
| LAK | Pheonix Copley | 41 | 37 | 4 | 90.2% | 5.24 | 2 | 1.24 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • BOS at home vs LAK: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | BOS 2 - 1 LAK | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-21 | LAK 1 - 2 BOS | BOS | LAK |
| 2025-03-23 | LAK 7 - 2 BOS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-12 | BOS 2 - 1 LAK | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-17 | BOS 4 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 15 | 0 | 1.07 |
| 1 | LAK | 14 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 2 | BOS | 14 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 2 | LAK | 12 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 3 | BOS | 19 | 0 | 1.02 |
| 3 | LAK | 15 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 4 | BOS | 1 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 4 | LAK | 5 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 5 | BOS | 7 | 2 | 2.02 |
| 5 | LAK | 7 | 3 | 2.96 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2
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