Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-12-15 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CAR: 57.9%

SEA: 42.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.36

SEA: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	17	15	2	88.2%	1.24	0	-0.76
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	39	36	3	92.3%	5.28	7	2.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CAR at home vs SEA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	SEA 2 - 1 CAR	SEA	CAR
2026-01-10	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR
2024-12-03	CAR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	CAR
2024-10-26	SEA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-10-26	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	2	1.64
1	SEA	5	0	0.15
2	CAR	14	0	1.09
2	SEA	12	0	0.84
3	CAR	17	5	2.55
3	SEA	7	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0