Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-12-15 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Nashville Predators (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 59.8%

NSH: 40.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.56

NSH: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	26	25	1	96.2%	2.19	2	1.19
NSH	Juuse Saros	41	39	2	95.1%	4.37	1	2.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NSH: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	NSH
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	1.08
1	NSH	10	1	0.67
2	WPG	28	1	1.90
2	NSH	11	0	0.53
3	WPG	20	0	1.09
3	NSH	12	1	0.84
4	WPG	2	0	0.30
4	NSH	1	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0