Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-12-15 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

CHI: 37.9%

VGK: 62.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.71

VGK: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	25	21	4	84.0%	3.65	2	-0.35
VGK	L. Thompson	25	24	1	96.0%	1.90	1	0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CHI at home vs VGK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	VGK 5 - 2 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	8	0	0.38
1	VGK	16	1	1.41
2	CHI	9	0	0.43
2	VGK	5	0	0.38
3	CHI	13	1	1.09
3	VGK	15	1	1.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4