Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-12-16 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

MIN: 71.7%

CHI: 28.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.82

CHI: 1.62

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 42%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	30	29	1	96.7%	2.32	1	1.32
CHI	Petr Mrazek	22	18	4	81.8%	3.38	3	-0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • MIN at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.69
1	CHI	10	1	0.90
2	MIN	11	1	0.97
2	CHI	10	0	0.23
3	MIN	11	2	1.73
3	CHI	15	0	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.8 - 1.6