Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-12-17 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 70.1%

ANA: 29.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.69

ANA: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 57%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	17	13	4	76.5%	1.75	1	-2.25
ANA	Lukas Dostal	49	46	3	93.9%	6.21	4	3.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • EDM at home vs ANA: 10-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	EDM
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	0	0.95
1	ANA	15	0	0.83
2	EDM	18	2	1.85
2	ANA	9	1	0.81
3	EDM	32	2	3.42
3	ANA	5	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5