Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-12-17 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Dallas Stars (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 59.3%

DAL: 40.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.53

DAL: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

A. Raanta

DAL

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	30	26	4	86.7%	2.37	0	-1.63
DAL	S. Wedgewood	38	33	5	86.8%	3.63	2	-1.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs DAL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	CAR 6 - 3 DAL	CAR	CAR
2025-10-25	DAL 3 - 2 CAR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-21	DAL 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	DAL
2024-11-25	CAR 6 - 4 DAL	CAR	CAR
2024-02-24	CAR 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	14	1	0.88
1	DAL	11	0	0.74
2	CAR	20	0	1.52
2	DAL	8	0	0.58
3	CAR	17	0	0.90
3	DAL	16	0	0.82
4	CAR	2	1	0.34
4	DAL	2	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5