Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-12-18 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

MIN: 61.7%

OTT: 38.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.40

OTT: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	28	26	2	92.9%	2.84	3	0.84
OTT	Anton Forsberg	23	19	4	82.6%	3.01	3	-0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs OTT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	OTT 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	OTT
2025-12-13	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	MIN
2025-02-01	OTT 6 - 0 MIN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-29	MIN 1 - 3 OTT	OTT	MIN
2024-04-02	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.76
1	OTT	5	0	0.40
2	MIN	14	1	1.36
2	OTT	9	0	0.75
3	MIN	5	2	0.89
3	OTT	22	3	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1