Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-12-20 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

PHI: 63.4%

CBJ: 36.6%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.36

CBJ: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

PHI

C. Hart

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	33	30	3	90.9%	2.54	1	-0.46
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	39	34	5	87.2%	3.37	2	-1.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CBJ: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PHI 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-14	PHI 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-28	CBJ 5 - 3 PHI	CBJ	PHI
2025-04-15	PHI 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2025-01-14	CBJ 3 - 2 PHI	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	0	0.90
1	CBJ	12	0	0.67
2	PHI	17	0	0.82
2	CBJ	14	0	0.84
3	PHI	17	2	1.66
3	CBJ	18	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1