New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-12-21 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 4 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 57.4%

NJD: 42.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.00

NJD: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	29	4	87.9%	4.36	2	0.36
NJD	M. Blackwood	36	34	2	94.4%	4.47	4	2.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • FLA at home vs NJD: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	3	1.88
1	NJD	12	0	0.68
2	FLA	17	0	1.00
2	NJD	22	0	1.62
3	FLA	18	1	1.59
3	NJD	12	2	2.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4