Arizona Coyotes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-12-21 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

VGK: 67.1%

ARI: 32.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.57

ARI: 2.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

VGK

L. Thompson

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	23	21	2	91.3%	2.55	1	0.55
ARI	K. Vejmelka	34	29	5	85.3%	3.07	2	-1.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VGK at home vs ARI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-05	ARI 7 - 4 VGK	ARI	VGK
2024-02-08	ARI 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2023-11-25	VGK 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	VGK
2023-01-22	ARI 4 - 1 VGK	ARI	ARI
2022-12-21	VGK 5 - 2 ARI	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	22	1	1.40
1	ARI	7	0	0.56
2	VGK	13	1	0.73
2	ARI	13	1	1.01
3	VGK	13	0	0.94
3	ARI	15	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.6 - 2.4