Winnipeg Jets at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-12-22 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

BOS: 52.8%

WPG: 47.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.12

WPG: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	27	25	2	92.6%	3.34	3	1.34
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	39	36	3	92.3%	3.39	2	0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • BOS at home vs WPG: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	BOS 6 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG
2025-12-11	WPG 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	WPG
2025-01-30	BOS 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-10	WPG 8 - 1 BOS	WPG	WPG
2024-01-22	BOS 4 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	15	0	0.62
1	WPG	20	3	1.81
2	BOS	24	2	1.71
2	WPG	9	0	0.84
3	BOS	17	0	1.07
3	WPG	13	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1