Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-12-22 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 Calgary Flames (OT)

Win Probability

LAK: 53.4%

CGY: 46.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.94

CGY: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 44%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	30	27	3	90.0%	3.06	1	0.06
CGY	Dan Vladar	32	28	4	87.5%	3.43	0	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • LAK at home vs CGY: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	11	0	0.66
1	CGY	4	0	0.40
2	LAK	11	0	0.99
2	CGY	18	1	1.48
3	LAK	22	0	1.60
3	CGY	17	0	1.02
4	LAK	3	0	0.17
4	CGY	2	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9