Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-12-23 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CAR: 64.0%

PHI: 36.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.45

PHI: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

CAR

A. Raanta

PHI

Samuel Ersson - 6-5-4 | 0.868 SV% | 3.09 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	31	26	5	83.9%	3.00	1	-2.00
PHI	Samuel Ersson	37	31	6	83.8%	2.90	0	-3.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • CAR at home vs PHI: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	0	1.23
1	PHI	7	0	0.42
2	CAR	20	0	0.90
2	PHI	14	0	0.73
3	CAR	12	0	0.76
3	PHI	20	1	1.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8