Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-12-23 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 54.3%

COL: 45.7%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.00

COL: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	46	43	3	93.5%	3.90	1	0.90
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	39	37	2	94.9%	3.17	0	1.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • NSH at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	22	0	1.65
1	COL	14	0	0.88
2	NSH	10	0	0.49
2	COL	23	0	1.61
3	NSH	15	0	0.76
3	COL	21	1	1.22
4	NSH	3	0	0.26
4	COL	2	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9