Columbus Blue Jackets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-12-23 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 47.7%

CBJ: 52.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.94

CBJ: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

CHI

A. Stalock

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	29	27	2	93.1%	2.58	1	0.58
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	38	33	5	86.8%	3.17	1	-1.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CHI at home vs CBJ: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CBJ 4 - 0 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-30	CHI 2 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-22	CBJ 5 - 1 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-01	CHI 3 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-02	CHI 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	0.80
1	CBJ	10	0	0.32
2	CHI	14	0	1.11
2	CBJ	19	1	1.29
3	CHI	19	1	1.26
3	CBJ	15	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4