Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-04-14 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 51.3%

BUF: 48.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.29

BUF: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 7.3

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 55%

CBJ

J. Gillies

BUF

D. Levi

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Gillies	36	31	5	86.1%	5.24	3	0.24
BUF	D. Levi	31	29	2	93.5%	3.03	1	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs BUF: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	BUF 5 - 0 CBJ	BUF	CBJ
2026-01-03	CBJ 5 - 1 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2025-10-28	BUF 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-10	CBJ 3 - 2 BUF	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-04	BUF 3 - 2 CBJ	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	0.95
1	BUF	20	2	1.92
2	CBJ	16	1	1.59
2	BUF	15	0	1.25
3	CBJ	11	0	0.49
3	BUF	16	1	2.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3