Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-12-27 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

CAR: 73.0%

CHI: 27.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.83

CHI: 2.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

A. Raanta

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	24	24	0	100.0%	2.38	1	2.38
CHI	Petr Mrazek	49	46	3	93.9%	4.15	2	1.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CAR at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-20	CHI 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-04-14	CHI 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	31	1	1.90
1	CHI	11	0	0.46
2	CAR	12	0	0.67
2	CHI	13	0	1.12
3	CAR	19	1	1.58
3	CHI	9	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.8 - 2.5