Washington Capitals at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-12-27 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 4 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYR: 48.1%

WSH: 51.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.30

WSH: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 53%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	30	26	4	86.7%	2.77	2	-1.23
WSH	D. Kuemper	32	32	0	100.0%	3.84	1	3.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYR at home vs WSH: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	19	0	1.01
1	WSH	11	1	1.04
2	NYR	16	1	1.48
2	WSH	17	1	1.26
3	NYR	20	0	1.35
3	WSH	8	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 0 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3