Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-12-28 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 65.6%

BOS: 34.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.36

BOS: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

NJD

V. Vanecek

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	27	24	3	88.9%	4.16	2	1.16
BOS	L. Ullmark	31	30	1	96.8%	3.20	1	2.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs BOS: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	25	1	1.51
1	BOS	12	0	0.93
2	NJD	11	0	0.66
2	BOS	20	0	1.41
3	NJD	16	0	1.03
3	BOS	12	2	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8