Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-12-28 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights (SO)

Win Probability

ANA: 54.9%

VGK: 45.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.88

VGK: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 50%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	52	50	2	96.2%	4.40	0	2.40
VGK	Adin Hill	29	25	4	86.2%	3.92	2	-0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs VGK: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	0	0.71
1	VGK	21	0	1.55
2	ANA	8	0	0.35
2	VGK	25	0	1.70
3	ANA	15	0	0.72
3	VGK	19	0	0.94
4	ANA	5	0	0.46
4	VGK	1	0	0.07
5	ANA	2	2	1.68
5	VGK	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5