Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2022-12-29 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 61.1%
CHI: 38.9%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.11
CHI: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA
CHI
A. Stalock
| Stat | STL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.56 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | Jordan Binnington | 22 | 21 | 1 | 95.5% | 2.33 | 1 | 1.33 |
| CHI | A. Stalock | 29 | 26 | 3 | 89.7% | 3.51 | 1 | 0.51 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • STL at home vs CHI: 8-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CHI 3 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2026-01-07 | CHI 7 - 3 STL | CHI | STL |
| 2025-12-12 | STL 3 - 2 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-15 | STL 3 - 8 CHI | CHI | STL |
| 2025-03-22 | STL 4 - 1 CHI | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 11 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 1 | CHI | 13 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 2 | STL | 19 | 0 | 1.63 |
| 2 | CHI | 7 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 3 | STL | 7 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 3 | CHI | 8 | 0 | 0.51 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8
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