Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-12-29 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

WPG: 57.1%

VAN: 42.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.26

VAN: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

VAN

C. Delia

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	22	20	2	90.9%	2.50	1	0.50
VAN	C. Delia	39	35	4	89.7%	5.21	3	1.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs VAN: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	11	0	0.54
1	VAN	12	0	0.96
2	WPG	27	1	2.12
2	VAN	11	1	0.83
3	WPG	18	2	2.55
3	VAN	9	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0