New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2022-12-30 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PIT: 46.9%

NJD: 53.1%

Expected Goals

PIT: 2.68

NJD: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 52%

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Tristan Jarry	28	24	4	85.7%	3.24	2	-0.76
NJD	V. Vanecek	27	25	2	92.6%	3.10	2	1.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • PIT at home vs NJD: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	7	1	0.83
1	NJD	15	0	0.89
2	PIT	20	0	1.42
2	NJD	13	0	0.76
3	PIT	11	1	0.84
3	NJD	14	2	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2