Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-12-31 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 52.9%

PHI: 47.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.48

PHI: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

J. Quick

PHI

Samuel Ersson - 6-5-4 | 0.868 SV% | 3.09 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	23	19	4	82.6%	2.84	1	-1.16
PHI	Samuel Ersson	29	27	2	93.1%	2.61	1	0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	14	0	0.89
1	PHI	15	0	1.09
2	LAK	13	1	0.85
2	PHI	7	0	0.36
3	LAK	14	0	0.87
3	PHI	11	1	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2