Chicago Blackhawks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-12-31 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

CBJ: 54.3%

CHI: 45.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.53

CHI: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

CHI

A. Stalock

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	28	27	1	96.4%	2.36	0	1.36
CHI	A. Stalock	38	34	4	89.5%	3.68	3	-0.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CBJ at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CBJ 4 - 0 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-30	CHI 2 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-22	CBJ 5 - 1 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-01	CHI 3 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-02	CHI 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	19	2	1.76
1	CHI	14	0	0.74
2	CBJ	18	0	1.09
2	CHI	8	0	0.47
3	CBJ	11	1	0.82
3	CHI	21	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1