Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-01-01 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)

Win Probability

NJD: 49.0%

CAR: 51.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.38

CAR: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

NJD

M. Blackwood

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	49	44	5	89.8%	5.15	4	0.15
CAR	A. Raanta	31	27	4	87.1%	2.95	2	-1.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • NJD at home vs CAR: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	9	0	0.79
1	CAR	14	0	0.49
2	NJD	15	2	1.01
2	CAR	23	1	1.31
3	NJD	9	0	0.53
3	CAR	22	2	1.87
4	NJD	3	0	0.42
4	CAR	5	0	0.51
5	NJD	3	0	0.19
5	CAR	2	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1