New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-01-01 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 55.8%

NYR: 44.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.32

NYR: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NYR

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	28	23	5	82.1%	2.42	2	-2.58
NYR	J. Halak	35	32	3	91.4%	3.24	1	0.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • FLA at home vs NYR: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	0	0.49
1	NYR	20	1	1.19
2	FLA	15	1	1.36
2	NYR	7	1	0.66
3	FLA	23	0	1.40
3	NYR	8	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0