San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-01-01 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

CHI: 45.5%

SJS: 54.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.25

SJS: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

SJS

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	28	23	5	82.1%	3.95	3	-1.05
SJS	K. Kahkonen	22	20	2	90.9%	1.65	1	-0.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs SJS: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	SJS
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	9	1	0.48
1	SJS	18	1	1.72
2	CHI	15	0	0.46
2	SJS	14	1	1.60
3	CHI	14	0	0.71
3	SJS	7	1	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1