New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-01-01 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

SEA: 60.5%

NYI: 39.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.90

NYI: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

SEA

M. Jones

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	19	18	1	94.7%	2.19	0	1.19
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	35	31	4	88.6%	2.75	2	-1.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • SEA at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.66
1	NYI	13	0	0.76
2	SEA	16	1	1.08
2	NYI	10	0	0.90
3	SEA	11	1	1.01
3	NYI	10	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 2.7