Arizona Coyotes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-01-03 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

FLA: 66.0%

ARI: 34.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.84

ARI: 2.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	36	33	3	91.7%	3.31	2	0.31
ARI	K. Vejmelka	37	32	5	86.5%	2.52	0	-2.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs ARI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-24	FLA 6 - 2 ARI	FLA	FLA
2024-01-02	ARI 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	ARI
2023-01-03	FLA 5 - 3 ARI	FLA	FLA
2022-11-01	ARI 3 - 1 FLA	ARI	FLA
2021-12-10	ARI 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	0	0.47
1	ARI	15	1	1.06
2	FLA	25	0	1.77
2	ARI	11	0	0.81
3	FLA	12	0	0.28
3	ARI	23	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.8 - 2.3