Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2023-01-03 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

OTT: 61.4%

CBJ: 38.6%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.70

CBJ: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	22	22	0	100.0%	2.12	2	2.12
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	34	30	4	88.2%	3.71	3	-0.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs CBJ: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	CBJ 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-29	OTT 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	OTT
2025-12-11	CBJ 3 - 6 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-04-08	CBJ 5 - 2 OTT	CBJ	OTT
2025-04-06	OTT 4 - 0 CBJ	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	17	0	1.23
1	CBJ	10	1	0.83
2	OTT	15	2	1.24
2	CBJ	10	1	0.61
3	OTT	13	1	1.25
3	CBJ	11	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8