Montreal Canadiens at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-01-03 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 6 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

NSH: 56.8%

MTL: 43.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.29

MTL: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	24	3	88.9%	2.40	1	-0.60
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	34	28	6	82.4%	4.01	0	-1.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NSH at home vs MTL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	23	0	1.36
1	MTL	19	1	1.46
2	NSH	19	0	1.46
2	MTL	13	0	0.70
3	NSH	16	0	1.20
3	MTL	4	0	0.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 6 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2