Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-01-03 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

LAK: 52.2%

DAL: 47.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.14

DAL: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	30	28	2	93.3%	2.71	1	0.71
DAL	Jake Oettinger	35	32	3	91.4%	3.17	0	0.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs DAL: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.84
1	DAL	18	0	1.05
2	LAK	17	0	1.08
2	DAL	16	1	1.06
3	LAK	19	0	1.25
3	DAL	11	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1