Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-01-04 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 0 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 48.4%

DAL: 51.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.08

DAL: 3.63

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 57%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

DAL

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	35	35	0	100.0%	3.30	0	3.30
DAL	S. Wedgewood	27	25	2	92.6%	1.63	0	-0.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs DAL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ANA	17	0.88
1	DAL	10	0.57
2	ANA	11	0.44
2	DAL	16	1.20
3	ANA	9	0.30
3	DAL	24	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 0 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.6