Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-01-05 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 60.7%

NSH: 39.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.84

NSH: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	25	20	5	80.0%	4.16	5	-0.84
NSH	Juuse Saros	67	64	3	95.5%	6.37	7	3.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-27	NSH 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	3	1.59
1	NSH	10	0	0.75
2	CAR	23	1	1.92
2	NSH	10	1	0.98
3	CAR	37	3	2.86
3	NSH	14	4	2.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.8 - 3.1