Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-01-05 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 39.8%

COL: 60.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.74

COL: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

VAN

C. Delia

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	C. Delia	32	30	2	93.8%	3.13	1	1.13
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	43	39	4	90.7%	5.53	5	1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs COL: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	1	1.33
1	COL	21	1	1.43
2	VAN	26	3	2.37
2	COL	9	0	0.65
3	VAN	12	1	1.83
3	COL	17	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3