Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-01-05 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

LAK: 49.9%

BOS: 50.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.95

BOS: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	22	17	5	77.3%	2.22	1	-2.78
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	29	27	2	93.1%	2.45	0	0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs BOS: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2025-11-21	LAK 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	LAK
2025-03-23	LAK 7 - 2 BOS	LAK	LAK
2024-10-12	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2024-02-17	BOS 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	0	0.79
1	BOS	11	0	0.72
2	LAK	19	0	1.02
2	BOS	8	0	0.47
3	LAK	10	0	0.64
3	BOS	9	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3